Your statistics are wrong. Most studies are very small and so transgender advocates tend to pick those that support their thesis. As the saying goes, repeat an assertion long often enough and it becomes a fact.
The current numbers are 11% of trans women and 4% of trans men regret the surgery so much they revert back to their original sex. Even more regret it but live with it. These numbers were based on a 2021 study published in Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery. (see link below)
https://journals.lww.com/prsgo/fulltext/2021/03000/regret_after_gender_affirmation_surgery__a.22.aspx
In order to get a better set of numbers a meta-analysis study was used combining many small studies. So, when you see articles quoting "statistics" check out the study and its size and whether there is any potential for bias.
Also realize, that all studies have bias risks but historically "meta studies" (which are aggregations of other studies) have historically done a good job of watering down the individual bias of a given study by blending it with the "biases" of other studies. The smaller the study the greater risk of bias.
Based on the "mata study, the high adverse results are unacceptably high for an "elective" surgical procedure. I would like to see studies that isolate children vs adults, since I think adults are more likely to have lower "regret" rates than children, since they have "lived" as tans long enough to be sure.
If that were the true, then the "regret" rate is even higher among children and that makes sense.
On the issue of "social pressure", my younger children who are not in college and medical school and my older grandchildren in middle school and high school have noted how much positive affirmation goes to children who say they are trans, gay, and bisexual. These days it is "cool" not to be heterosexual in many areas of the country as evidenced by the vast difference in people that identify as such based-on geography.
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Again, statistics support that observation as a recent survey said 20% of millennials identify as LGBTQ, this is twice the historical estimate of people that are born biologically LGBTQ (estimates ranged to as high as 11%).
That suggests all past science studies which linked this behavior to "genetic" factors (people born that way) are either wrong or societal factors are contributing to a change in identity or humans have evolved in one generation (highly unlikely).
https://www.glaad.org/files/aa/2017_GLAAD_Accelerating_Acceptance.pdf
Unless all those original studies were wrong, there is a huge risk that young people that identify as transgender are not "transgender" and so postponing surgery until they are adults is the ethical thing to do. And most likely will naturally sort out those children that are transgender from those that are not.
If they identify a "transgender" gene and can test for it, my position will change. Your response while well written is full of assumptions that remain to be proven. But for now, the science simply does not support the sheer numbers of children that identify as LGBTQ and until science can separate the children who are trans from those who are confused (either gay or heterosexual), the old adage in medicine still applies... do no harm.
